One Creative Thought

RX: One creative thought, take daily until the symptoms go away. Find creative suggestions and/or solutions to problems within and without the US.

Friday, April 28, 2006

Bank Of America's Exposure to Credit Card Debt

While there is a potential bit of good news for the state of Delaware in the linked article, there's a very interesting piece of information regarding BofA's exposure to credit card debt.

Delawareonline The News Journal: BofA network could add jobs in Delaware.:
Bank of America is the nation's largest issuer of debit cards, with about 27 million. It is also the nation's largest credit card issuer with about 122 million and about 20 percent of outstanding balances, according to the Nilson Report, an industry newsletter.
Its lonely at the top - and IMHO being the nation's largest credit card issuer may not prove - in the long term - a desirable position. Those 122 million credit card are nearly 20 percent of all credit card outstanding balances.

The optimist will say, "That's good - after all, every outstanding balance earns an interest from the consumer and probably varies from 9 to 29.99 percent. What other investment (or receivable) earns 9 to nearly 30 percent interest, calculated on a daily balance? BofA is in a strong position!"

The pessimist will start with questions: "How much of that 20 percent outstanding balance number consists of credit card accounts at or near their maximum credit limit? How many are one or more payments late?"

The pessimist will continue (of course): "All it will take is one solid, economic hit to the USS Bofa. She won't need to sink, just take on water and list to one side. Anything causing layoffs or a decline in the spendable income of those credit card holders will turn the USS Bofa's 20 percent assest into a larger than 20 percent liability. When individual accounts start going toes-up you won't see the ocean for the splashes from those abandoning ship!"

The indication within USS Bofa's recent activities suggest the US market is saturated financially. So its time to take the USS Bofa on a world cruise at hyper-speed, establishing beach heads within foreign nations.

"Stake the future on a future stake and give me full ahead!" seems to be the cry ringing from the USS Bofa's bridge these days.

And keep in mind - BofA is considering its own credit card network. Estimates to initiate the network runs around $100 million US. Offsetting this debt is a potential (claimed) savings of $75 million US. So lets see - oh yeah, its only an initial $25 million US loss the first year.

Of course, everyone jumping into the use/acceptance of BofA's credit card would pay a fee, so perhaps USS Bofa would recoup the $25 million US and perhaps even more.

Why - could we even speculate on the potential for a credit card war?

One last thing to remember about USS Bofa's exposure... the net is filled with rumours about USS Bofa entering China and establishing credit card use there as it has elsewhere. No doubt the initial lines of credit would have to enticing to get the Chinese to "sign on". The interesting thing about it is this:

What will USS Bofa do when Chinese credit card accounts start going toes-up? Will the COMMUNIST Chinese government "enforce" bad debt collection? How would they do this - prision time or worse? How much of USS Bofa's IT infrastructure will need to be "exposed" to the COMMUNIST Chinese government? Some, none - or all?

If this comes to pass - imho, its time to get off the USS Bofa at the very next port of call and wave bye-bye as she sails into uncharted waters.


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Report: BofA to swap for stake in Brazilian bank - Charlotte Business Journal:

Do you still believe in the experts' opinions that Bank of America is a solid buy?
Report: BofA to swap for stake in Brazilian bank - Charlotte Business Journal::
The swap for the stake in Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA would continue BofA's recent practice of expanding in developing countries through minority stakes in local banks, the newspaper says.

IMHO: BofA recently was negotiating a settlement with Manhattan prosecutors to settle a case wherein BofA allegedly laundered nearly $2Billion US. The settlement amount was reported as $25 Million US. Your average American might think it better to get out of nations where money laundering occurs as opposed to getting deeper into the swamp.

I predict within the next few years (five at the max) more trouble will bubble to the surface of BofA's public personna as it is inevitable they will invest in banks hiding activities which (under US banking laws/regulations) will be found illegal.

But hey - its all about money - not common cents. And if the previously mentioned settlement goes through, what's a whopping one percent legal penalty?

While many 'global economists' (or globonimists) will tell you foreign investment is a 'good thing' - imho, this is just one step deeper into the swamp.


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Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Bank of America may get off hook for potent. $100 Mil

Is this sad or what? C'mon Floridians - get off yer duff and start calling your representatives!
MiamiHerald.com | 04/25/2006 | Bank of America may get off hook

The bank is being sued in Leon County's circuit court for allegedly running a decade-long scheme in which it failed to report unclaimed funds it accumulated during routine inter-bank accounting errors.

By law, those funds -- which plaintiff's lawyers say could amount to more than $100 million -- should have been turned over to the Department of Financial Services and Department of Education after five years.

In an earlier post I wrote this would be an interesting case worth following. How do you like the probable resolution of this potential violation? Too bad it doesn't work for all of us, huh? "Uh yes - members of the Florida Congress - we have a problem..."

Who had any idea it would go this way??

More interesting to me is what must have followed, ie - what moved the Florida legislature to do this?

Does BofA have an anvil over the state? Does BofA hold outstanding loan agreements that in some way could adversely effect Florida if BofA decided not to do business in Florida? Would it devastate Florida in such a manner or way that Florida could not recover?

Lets see where this goes... Hard to argue with $700 Billion (US) banks I guess... We have to keep watching this one - and of course, the $2 Billion (US) money-laundering settlement and of course, the Italian Job ($10 Billion US).


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